Switch 2 Predicted as the Best Selling Next-Gen Console Despite Not Even Being Out Yet

Despite not yet being released, DFC Intelligence, a video game market research firm, projects Nintendo's Switch 2 to be the best-selling next-gen console. Their 2024 Video Game Market Report and Forecast, released December 17th, predicts sales exceeding 15-17 million units in 2025 and over 80 million by 2028. This makes Nintendo the projected "clear winner" and "console market leader."

This forecast stems from the Switch 2's anticipated 2025 release, giving it a significant head start over competitors. With limited competition initially, DFC Intelligence anticipates strong demand, potentially exceeding Nintendo's manufacturing capabilities.

While Sony and Microsoft are reportedly developing handheld consoles, these remain largely conceptual. DFC Intelligence suggests new consoles from these companies by 2028, leaving a considerable window for Switch 2 dominance. The report suggests only one post-Switch 2 console will achieve significant success, potentially a hypothetical "PS6," leveraging PlayStation's established fanbase and strong intellectual properties.

The Switch's enduring popularity is undeniable. Circana (formerly NPD) data shows US Switch lifetime sales surpassing those of the PlayStation 2, ranking second only to the Nintendo DS in all-time US hardware sales. This achievement is notable despite a reported 3% year-over-year sales decline.

DFC Intelligence's report paints a positive outlook for the video game industry as a whole. After a two-year slump, the industry is projected to resume strong growth through the end of the decade, with 2025 anticipated as a particularly strong year. This is fueled by new product releases, including the Switch 2 and Grand Theft Auto VI, expected to boost consumer spending and overall sales. The global gaming audience is projected to exceed 4 billion players by 2027, driven by the accessibility of portable gaming and the growth of esports and gaming influencers. This increased engagement is also boosting hardware sales across PC and consoles.